Research

Economic systems are inherently uncertain.

Our research develops probabilistic models and computational methods to study markets as dynamic and information-driven processes.

Research Programs
01

Quantum Finance

Theoretical

Applying quantum probability to asset pricing and portfolio theory. We develop non-Kolmogorovian probability models and path-integral methods to capture interference effects in market dynamics and option pricing under non-Gaussian distributions.

Probability TheoryAsset PricingPortfolio TheoryRisk Modeling
02

AI Economics

Applied

Using artificial intelligence to model economic systems under uncertainty. We develop data-driven methods for inference, prediction, and signal extraction.

Machine LearningEconomic SystemsSignal Extraction
03

Blockchain Network

Empirical

Extracting structural signals and behavioral patterns from on-chain transaction data. Focus on network topology analysis, transaction flow modeling, and data-driven insights for decentralized ecosystems.

On-Chain DataNetwork AnalysisTransaction Patterns
04

Decentralized Finance

Quantitative

Modeling liquidity, mechanism design, and risk in protocol-governed financial systems. Research spans automated market makers, lending protocols, and tokenomics.

DeFi ProtocolsMechanism DesignLiquidity Modeling
Selected Research

A Probabilistic Framework for Asset Valuation under Quantum Formalism

Quantum Finance ProgramWork in Progress

We develop a quantum-inspired framework for asset valuation, where prices are modeled as probabilistic states rather than fixed quantities. Transactions act as measurements that collapse these states into observed market prices, providing a new perspective on valuation under uncertainty.

Cryptocurrency Valuation: An Explainable AI Approach

AI Economics ProgramScience and Information Conference

A novel price-to-utility ratio grounded in blockchain accounting effectively predicts long-term Bitcoin returns and supports an automated trading strategy that outperforms buy-and-hold.

Empirical Analysis of EIP-1559: Transaction Fees, Waiting Times, and Consensus Security

Blockchain Network ProgramProceedings of the 2022 ACM SIGSAC Conference on Computer and Communications Security

EIP-1559 improves user experience by mitigating intrablock gas price differences and reducing waiting times, with limited measurable impact on consensus security.

Deciphering Bitcoin Blockchain Data by Cohort Analysis

Blockchain Network ProgramNature: Scientific Data

Novel approach to understanding Bitcoin transaction patterns and user behavior through advanced cohort analysis techniques applied to blockchain data.

Blockchain Network Analysis: A Comparative Study of Decentralized Banks

Decentralized Finance ProgramScience and Information Conference

A comparative study of core-periphery network structure across four decentralized banks — Liquity, Aave, MakerDao, and Compound — finding that MakerDao and Compound exhibit greater decentralization in transactions, while all four protocols show concentration around primary external addresses such as Huobi, Coinbase, and Binance.